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2024-12-14 10:20:57

After this week's meeting, this month has basically entered a policy vacuum period. Without unexpected policy guidance, the market may fall into a volatile and anxious market.From the point of view of quantity, the decline in volume and panic selling by some people also indicate that some people are undertaking against the trend, but after the fall of 3400 points, the trend will fall into a new shock to find the bottom, which is not conducive to the rapid recovery of confidence.Since the index is to see if it will stop falling around next Tuesday, it is just to wait and see in the short term.


Personally, I think that we should wait until next Tuesday or so, and refer to the emotional fermentation mentioned above. Next Monday, we will definitely fulfill the panic concerns of the weekend. After the market releases its emotions, it will be able to show a narrow range of shocks throughout the day next Monday.At least today's fall has released panic, and this mood will ferment again at the weekend, and the possibility of continuing to plummet in the market next Monday will be reduced;After this week's meeting, this month has basically entered a policy vacuum period. Without unexpected policy guidance, the market may fall into a volatile and anxious market.


As for the extent, after the index plunged today, it is unlikely that it will continue to plunge next week, and there will be strong support in the area from the top of the 20-day moving average to 3380 points.First, the domestic capital has flowed out by more than 100 billion yuan, and the market is basically going to smash a hole.If the digestion ability is fast, there will even be shrinkage back pumping next Monday, but shrinkage back pumping after the plunge is the most likely time to cause selling pressure, so even if shrinkage back pumping next Monday, it can not be said that the decline has stopped completely, and it needs to be verified next Tuesday.

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